Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 97.924274 112.185054 128.930973 150.353204 177.492393 211.397384 258.091322
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 78.022652 95.261605 117.642457 149.890777 197.163164 267.681738 389.703351
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 67.006635 85.025744 109.930045 148.757450 211.917105 320.176818 549.791402
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 58.952004 76.835529 102.673578 145.373343 220.707258 365.824746 738.860664
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 53.521393 71.331833 98.048790 144.509269 232.799722 423.445373 1028.990982
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.585380 67.392811 95.012346 145.337012 248.002172 497.075010 1509.517175
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 45.358071 62.469554 89.622908 140.742180 250.537228 541.894091 2013.710674
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 43.710984 61.341941 90.250307 147.347496 279.982271 687.285904 3836.941473
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 40.594514 57.529020 85.778276 143.033398 281.978137 747.468453 5678.854744
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 38.637303 55.419685 84.020636 143.910224 297.744135 878.837467 11604.272274
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 36.531191 52.873208 81.176060 141.940564 305.173214 987.176992 25212.018476
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 35.663994 52.336291 81.939396 148.046508 339.077810 1292.578263 433173.462830
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 35.803179 53.727355 86.878908 166.001535 426.578020 2313.953352 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 33.947151 51.445740 84.404325 165.503256 450.070320 3002.553222 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 32.229039 49.256892 81.838112 164.191679 470.357226 3894.551989 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.471246 46.853353 78.556685 160.278693 477.586300 4752.633671 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 29.125244 45.110791 76.473498 159.280610 498.861685 6468.211313 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 28.053746 43.799998 75.164719 160.236719 531.949435 9977.171204 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 26.618794 41.702239 71.943246 154.934218 527.980229 12021.274108 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 26.199691 41.517393 72.907427 162.560595 608.018755 34736.912351 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 24.982538 39.703269 70.038421 157.576820 604.359270 48907.510637 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 24.233367 38.760557 69.070549 158.588906 644.663518 168099.482931 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 23.340713 37.481437 67.213642 156.316015 659.929029 732924.209549 NaN